SMBC Comics Forum

[quote="codetaku"]Yeah this comic is frankly... embarrassing. It'd be rectified if the logician said "the a priori odds [...]", but as it is, since the person was actually struck, the odds of them dying from it became 1 in 10.[/quote]

Oh, you mean like this comic:

[img]https://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/conditional_risk.png[/img]

...sorry zach

Yeah this comic is frankly... embarrassing. It'd be rectified if the logician said "the a priori odds [...]", but as it is, since the person was actually struck, the odds of them dying from it became 1 in 10.

https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/logic

[img]https://www.smbc-comics.com/comics/1551536361-20190302%20(1).png[/img]

[img]https://www.smbc-comics.com/comics/155153656920190302after%20(1).png[/img]

[i]In fact, the chance of any particular second being the one where you die is vanishingly small.[/i]



A true logician would know that that's not how probability works.